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14 Texas opinions name it 2 courts 2008–2025 6 in the last five years
The cases below were cited by Texas courts in a sentence that names this issue. Sides come from how each citing opinion treated the case (Syfertize flag on that citation), so a case can appear on both: that is where the law is contested. A red or yellow chip is the case's own overall treatment.
| Case | Followed | Cited |
|---|---|---|
De La Paz v. Stategreen2 sentences2023See De La Paz v. State, 279 S.W.3d 336, 347 (Tex. Crim. App. 2009) (“The ‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance.”). 2021“The ‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance.” De La Paz, 279 S.W.3d at 347 . | 4 | 9 |
Plante v. Stategreen2 sentences2015App. 2009) ("The 'doctrine of chances' tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance."); Plante v. State, 692 S.W.2d 487, 491-92 (Tex. Cr. 2013Casey, 215 S.W.3d at 881 (citing Plante v. State, 692 S.W.2d 487, 491-92 (Tex.Crim.App.1985)); Brown, 96 S.W.3d at 513 ; see De La Paz, 279 S.W.3d at 347 (“The ‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance.”). | 2 | 4 |
Dabney v. Stategreen2 sentences2025“When the defendant’s intent to commit the offense charged is at issue, the relevance of an extraneous offense derives from the doctrine of chances—the instinctive recognition of that logical process which eliminates the element of innocent intent by multiplying instances of the same result until it is perceived that this element cannot explain them all.” Brown v. State, 96 S.W.3d 508, 512 (Tex. App.—Austin 2002, no pet.); see Dabney, 492 S.W.3d at 317 (“[T]he ‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance,” and that 2021“The ‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance.” Dabney, 492 S.W.3d at 317 (citing De La Paz, 279 S.W.3d at 347 ). | 2 | 3 |
United States v. Martha L. Woodsgreen2 sentences2008This inference is purely objective, and has nothing to do with a subjective assessment of York's character.”); United States v. Woods, 484 F.2d 127, 135 (4th Cir.1973) (in trial for murdering her eight-month-old foster son by inducing cyanosis and other respiratory difficulties, trial court did not err in admitting evidence that nine infants in defendant's custody had suffered similar difficulties, and that seven of those infants died; applying "the doctrine of chances,” the court held that the other deaths were admissible to prove the identity of the foster son's killer "because of the remote 2008This inference is purely objective, and has nothing to do with a subjective assessment of York's character."); United States v. Woods , 484 F.2d 127, 135 (4th Cir. 1973) (in trial for murdering her eight-month-old foster son by inducing cyanosis and other respiratory difficulties, trial court did not err in admitting evidence that nine infants in defendant's custody had suffered similar difficulties, and that seven of those infants died; applying "the doctrine of chances," the court held that the other deaths were admissible to prove the identity of the foster son's killer "because of the remo | 2 | 2 |
United States v. Thomas Yorkred2 sentences2008See, e.g., United States v. York, 933 F.2d 1343, 1350 (7th Cir.1991) (in prosecution for attempt to defraud an insurance company after defendant murdered his business partner, dumped her body inside the bar they owned together, and then destroyed the bar by setting off two explosions, the trial court did not err in admitting evidence that, three years earlier, the defendant collected life insurance proceeds after his wife was murdered, even though the defendant was never charged with her murder; noting that "Wigmore's ‘doctrine of chances' tells us that highly unusual events are highly unlikel 2008See, e.g., United States v. York , 933 F.2d 1343, 1350 (7th Cir. 1991) (in prosecution for attempt to defraud an insurance company after defendant murdered his business partner, dumped her body inside the bar they owned together, and then destroyed the bar by setting off two explosions, the trial court did not err in admitting evidence that, three years earlier, the defendant collected life insurance proceeds after his wife was murdered, even though the defendant was never charged with her murder; noting that "Wigmore's 'doctrine of chances' tells us that highly unusual events are highly unlik | 2 | 2 |
Brown v. Stategreen2 sentences2025“When the defendant’s intent to commit the offense charged is at issue, the relevance of an extraneous offense derives from the doctrine of chances—the instinctive recognition of that logical process which eliminates the element of innocent intent by multiplying instances of the same result until it is perceived that this element cannot explain them all.” Brown v. State, 96 S.W.3d 508, 512 (Tex. App.—Austin 2002, no pet.); see Dabney, 492 S.W.3d at 317 (“[T]he ‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance,” and that 2013Casey, 215 S.W.3d at 881 (citing Plante v. State, 692 S.W.2d 487, 491-92 (Tex.Crim.App.1985)); Brown, 96 S.W.3d at 513 ; see De La Paz, 279 S.W.3d at 347 (“The ‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance.”). | 1 | 2 |
Ibarra v. Stategreen1 sentence2021See De La Paz v. State, 279 S.W.3d 336 , 347-48 (Tex. Crim. App. 2009) -5- (determining trial court did not abuse its discretion when admitting extraneous evidence of a highly unlikely event being repeated three different times because the “‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance”); Geesa v. State, 820 S.W.2d 154 , 156-61 (Tex. Crim. App. 1991) (rejecting “reasonable hypothesis” rule, which required for conviction, in circumstantial evidence cases, that the jury “must find that the evidence negated every reaso | 1 | 1 |
Morgan v. Stategreen1 sentence2008This inference is purely objective, and has nothing to do with a subjective assessment of York's character.”); United States v. Woods, 484 F.2d 127, 135 (4th Cir.1973) (in trial for murdering her eight-month-old foster son by inducing cyanosis and other respiratory difficulties, trial court did not err in admitting evidence that nine infants in defendant's custody had suffered similar difficulties, and that seven of those infants died; applying "the doctrine of chances,” the court held that the other deaths were admissible to prove the identity of the foster son's killer "because of the remote | 1 | 1 |
| Case | Negative | Cited |
|---|---|---|
| No negative-treatment citations attached to this issue in Texas. Read the followed side critically anyway. | ||
| Case | Cited | Years |
|---|---|---|
Paulson v. State
green
1 sentence2021See De La Paz v. State, 279 S.W.3d 336 , 347-48 (Tex. Crim. App. 2009) -5- (determining trial court did not abuse its discretion when admitting extraneous evidence of a highly unlikely event being repeated three different times because the “‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance”); Geesa v. State, 820 S.W.2d 154 , 156-61 (Tex. Crim. App. 1991) (rejecting “reasonable hypothesis” rule, which required for conviction, in circumstantial evidence cases, that the jury “must find that the evidence negated every reaso | 1 | 2021–2021 |
Geesa v. State
red
1 sentence2021See De La Paz v. State, 279 S.W.3d 336 , 347-48 (Tex. Crim. App. 2009) -5- (determining trial court did not abuse its discretion when admitting extraneous evidence of a highly unlikely event being repeated three different times because the “‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance”); Geesa v. State, 820 S.W.2d 154 , 156-61 (Tex. Crim. App. 1991) (rejecting “reasonable hypothesis” rule, which required for conviction, in circumstantial evidence cases, that the jury “must find that the evidence negated every reaso | 1 | 2021–2021 |
Casey v. State
green
1 sentence2013Casey, 215 S.W.3d at 881 (citing Plante v. State, 692 S.W.2d 487, 491-92 (Tex.Crim.App.1985)); Brown, 96 S.W.3d at 513 ; see De La Paz, 279 S.W.3d at 347 (“The ‘doctrine of chances’ tells us that highly unusual events are unlikely to repeat themselves inadvertently or by happenstance.”). | 1 | 2013–2013 |