probability standard (Washington) · Go Syfert
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probability standard in Washington

11 Washington opinions name it 2 courts 1947–2025 3 in the last five years

The cases below were cited by Washington courts in a sentence that names this issue. Sides come from how each citing opinion treated the case (Syfertize flag on that citation), so a case can appear on both: that is where the law is contested. A red or yellow chip is the case's own overall treatment.

Followed or applied (5)

CaseFollowedCited
Herrera v. Collinsgreen
scotus · 1993 · cited in 2 Washington opinions naming this issue, 2024–2024
2 sentences

2024See Riofta, 166 Wn.2d at 372-73 (we review posttrial affidavits casting blame on third parties with “a fair degree of skepticism”) (citing Herrera v. Collins, 506 U.S. 390, 423 , 113 S. Ct. 853 , 122 L.

2024See Riofta, 166 Wn.2d at 372-73 (we review posttrial affidavits casting blame on third parties with “a fair degree of skepticism”) (citing Herrera v. Collins, 506 U.S. 390, 423 , 113 S. Ct. 853 , 122 L.

22
State v. Rioftagreen
wash · 2009 · cited in 2 Washington opinions naming this issue, 2024–2024
2 sentences

2024See Riofta, 166 Wn.2d at 372-73 (we review posttrial affidavits casting blame on third parties with “a fair degree of skepticism”) (citing Herrera v. Collins, 506 U.S. 390, 423 , 113 S. Ct. 853 , 122 L.

2024See Riofta, 166 Wn.2d at 372-73 (we review posttrial affidavits casting blame on third parties with “a fair degree of skepticism”) (citing Herrera v. Collins, 506 U.S. 390, 423 , 113 S. Ct. 853 , 122 L.

22
Ashcroft v. Iqbalgreen
scotus · 2009 · cited in 2 Washington opinions naming this issue, 2010–2010
2 sentences

2010Whereas Iqbal characterizes this plausibility determination as one regarding the ultimate likelihood of success on the claim’s merits, see Iqbal, 129 S. Ct. at 1950 (characterizing the Twombly holding as such), Twombly — at one point— characterizes the plausibility determination as one tied to discovery: “Asking for plausible grounds to infer an agreement does not impose a probability requirement at the pleading stage; it simply calls for enough fact to raise a reasonable expectation that discovery will reveal evidence of illegal agreement.” 550 U.S. at 556 ; see also id. at 559-60 .

2010NOTES [1] The McCurrys are also suing on behalf of two similarly situated classes. [2] "Unfair methods of competition and unfair or deceptive acts or practices in the conduct of any trade or commerce are hereby declared unlawful." RCW 19.86.020. [3] Whereas Iqbal characterizes this plausibility determination as one regarding the ultimate likelihood of success on the claim's merits, see Iqbal, 129 S.Ct. at 1950 (characterizing the Twombly holding as such), Twombly —at one point—characterizes the plausibility determination as one tied to discovery: "Asking for plausible grounds to infer an agree

22
Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twomblygreen
scotus · 2007 · cited in 2 Washington opinions naming this issue, 2010–2010
2 sentences

2010Whereas Iqbal characterizes this plausibility determination as one regarding the ultimate likelihood of success on the claim’s merits, see Iqbal, 129 S. Ct. at 1950 (characterizing the Twombly holding as such), Twombly — at one point— characterizes the plausibility determination as one tied to discovery: “Asking for plausible grounds to infer an agreement does not impose a probability requirement at the pleading stage; it simply calls for enough fact to raise a reasonable expectation that discovery will reveal evidence of illegal agreement.” 550 U.S. at 556 ; see also id. at 559-60 .

2010Whereas Iqbal characterizes this plausibility determination as one regarding the ultimate likelihood of success on the claim’s merits, see Iqbal, 129 S. Ct. at 1950 (characterizing the Twombly holding as such), Twombly — at one point— characterizes the plausibility determination as one tied to discovery: “Asking for plausible grounds to infer an agreement does not impose a probability requirement at the pleading stage; it simply calls for enough fact to raise a reasonable expectation that discovery will reveal evidence of illegal agreement.” 550 U.S. at 556 ; see also id. at 559-60 .

22
Larsen v. Sotogreen
ca9 · 2013 · cited in 1 Washington opinions naming this issue, 2025–2025
1 sentence

2025Ed. 2d 1019 (2013); Larsen v. Soto, 742 F.3d 1083, 1095-96 (9th Cir. 2013)).

11

Distinguished, questioned or overruled (1)

CaseNegativeCited
Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twomblygreen
scotus · 2007 · cited in 2 Washington opinions naming this issue, 2010–2010
2 sentences

2010Whereas Iqbal characterizes this plausibility determination as one regarding the ultimate likelihood of success on the claim’s merits, see Iqbal, 129 S. Ct. at 1950 (characterizing the Twombly holding as such), Twombly — at one point— characterizes the plausibility determination as one tied to discovery: “Asking for plausible grounds to infer an agreement does not impose a probability requirement at the pleading stage; it simply calls for enough fact to raise a reasonable expectation that discovery will reveal evidence of illegal agreement.” 550 U.S. at 556 ; see also id. at 559-60 .

2010Whereas Iqbal characterizes this plausibility determination as one regarding the ultimate likelihood of success on the claim’s merits, see Iqbal, 129 S. Ct. at 1950 (characterizing the Twombly holding as such), Twombly — at one point— characterizes the plausibility determination as one tied to discovery: “Asking for plausible grounds to infer an agreement does not impose a probability requirement at the pleading stage; it simply calls for enough fact to raise a reasonable expectation that discovery will reveal evidence of illegal agreement.” 550 U.S. at 556 ; see also id. at 559-60 .

22

Also cited on this issue (12)

CaseCitedYears
Schlup v. Delo red
scotus · 1995
2 sentences

2025“Under the probability standard, after evaluating the new reliable evidence in light of the evidence presented to the jury, a court must be persuaded that ‘it is more likely than not that no reasonable juror would have found petitioner guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.’” Weber, 175 Wn.2d at 260 (quoting Schlup, 513 U.S. at 327 ).

2025Although we consider a broad array of evidence under the probability standard, we keep in mind that a showing of actual innocence is more than “showing that a reasonable doubt exists in the light of the new evidence.” Schlup, 513 U.S. at 329 .

32012–2025
In re the Personal Restraint of Weber green
wash · 2012
2 sentences

2025“Under the probability standard, after evaluating the new reliable evidence in light of the evidence presented to the jury, a court must be persuaded that ‘it is more likely than not that no reasonable juror would have found petitioner guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.’” Weber, 175 Wn.2d at 260 (quoting Schlup, 513 U.S. at 327 ).

2020“Under the probability standard, after evaluating the new reliable evidence in light of the evidence presented to the jury, a court must be persuaded that ‘it is more likely than not that no reasonable juror would have found petitioner guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.’” Id. at 260 (quoting Schlup v. Delo, 513 U.S. 298, 327 , 115 S. Ct. 851 , 130 L.

22020–2025
Jackson v. Virginia red
scotus · 1979
2 sentences

2025Our review for sufficiency of the evidence considers the evidence in a light most favorable to the State to determine if “‘any rational trier of fact could have found the essential elements of the crime beyond a reasonable doubt.’” State v. Green, 94 Wn.2d 216, 221 , 616 P.2d 628 (1980) (plurality opinion) (quoting Jackson v. Virginia, 443 U.S. 307, 319 , 99 S. Ct. 2781 , 61 L.

2025Our review for sufficiency of the evidence considers the evidence in a light most favorable to the State to determine if “‘any rational trier of fact could have found the essential elements of the crime beyond a reasonable doubt.’” State v. Green, 94 Wn.2d 216, 221 , 616 P.2d 628 (1980) (plurality opinion) (quoting Jackson v. Virginia, 443 U.S. 307, 319 , 99 S. Ct. 2781 , 61 L.

12025–2025
McQuiggin v. Perkins green
scotus · 2013
2 sentences

2025The probability standard announced in Schlup “ʻis demanding,’ and cases satisfying it have ‘typically involved dramatic new evidence of innocence.’” Gable v. Williams, 49 F.4th 1315 , 1322 (9th Cir. 2022) (quoting McQuiggin v. Perkins, 569 U.S. 383, 401 , 133 S.Ct. 1924 , 185 L.

2025The probability standard announced in Schlup “ʻis demanding,’ and cases satisfying it have ‘typically involved dramatic new evidence of innocence.’” Gable v. Williams, 49 F.4th 1315 , 1322 (9th Cir. 2022) (quoting McQuiggin v. Perkins, 569 U.S. 383, 401 , 133 S.Ct. 1924 , 185 L.

12025–2025
State v. Green green
wash · 1980
2 sentences

2025Our review for sufficiency of the evidence considers the evidence in a light most favorable to the State to determine if “‘any rational trier of fact could have found the essential elements of the crime beyond a reasonable doubt.’” State v. Green, 94 Wn.2d 216, 221 , 616 P.2d 628 (1980) (plurality opinion) (quoting Jackson v. Virginia, 443 U.S. 307, 319 , 99 S. Ct. 2781 , 61 L.

2025Our review for sufficiency of the evidence considers the evidence in a light most favorable to the State to determine if “‘any rational trier of fact could have found the essential elements of the crime beyond a reasonable doubt.’” State v. Green, 94 Wn.2d 216, 221 , 616 P.2d 628 (1980) (plurality opinion) (quoting Jackson v. Virginia, 443 U.S. 307, 319 , 99 S. Ct. 2781 , 61 L.

12025–2025
Washington Cedar & Supply Co. v. Department of Labor green
washctapp · 2004
2 sentences

2013To prove a serious regulatory violation under RCW 49. 17. 180( 6), the Department must show that. ( 1) the regulation applies, ( 2) a regulatory violation occurred, ( 3) employees were exposed to the regulatory violation, (4) the employer knew or could have known of the regulatory violation with reasonable diligence, .and ( 5) there is a substantial probability the violation could result in death or serious physical harm Wash. Cedar & Supply Co., Inc. v. Dep' t of Labor & Indus., 119 Wn.

2013App. 906, 914 , 83 P. 3d 1012 ( 2004) ( quoting D.A.

12013–2013
Murray v. Carrier green
scotus · 1986
2 sentences

2012Under the probability standard, the petitioner is required to show that in light of new evidence “it is more likely than not that no reasonable juror would have found [the defendant] guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.” Schlup, 513 U.S. at 327 (citing Murray v. Carrier, 477 U.S. 478 , 106 S. Ct. 2639 , 91 L.

2012Under the probability standard, the petitioner is required to show that in light of new evidence “it is more likely than not that no reasonable juror would have found [the defendant] guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.” Schlup, 513 U.S. at 327 (citing Murray v. Carrier, 477 U.S. 478 , 106 S. Ct. 2639 , 91 L.

12012–2012
Casey v. Federal Deposit Insurance green
ca8 · 2009
1 sentence

2010This discovery gloss still represents a drastic change from the possibility standard; a trial judge could dismiss a well-pleaded complaint for failure to state a claim if the judge believed it was not plausible that discovery would ultimately uncover the necessary evidence. [4] The McCurrys' unjust enrichment claim is based upon Chevy Chase allegedly taking payment beyond that permitted in the deed of trust and thus is analyzed in conjunction with the breach of contract claim. [5] An apparent side effect of the distinction between specific regulation and generally applicable laws is that the c

12010–2010
State v. Gibson green
wash · 1971
2 sentences

1981State v. Gibson, 79 Wn.2d 856, 861 , 490 P.2d 874 (1971).

1981State v. Gibson, 79 Wn.2d 856, 861 , 490 P.2d 874 (1971).

11981–1981
Leezer v. Fluhart neutral
wash · 1919
2 sentences

1958These things must be considered as to showing the probability as to what the contract was.” In Leezer v. Fluhart, 105 Wash. 618 , 178 Pac. 817 , we said: “The’ meaning of a contract may frequently be determined by a resort to the doctrine of probability, by answering the question, What is the common sense of it?” The judge stated in his oral opinion that it did not make sense for Mr. Hendricks to spend over five hundred dollars renovating his shovel in order to rent it for one month, with only a speculative possibility of a longer rental period.

1958These things must be considered as to showing the probability as to what the contract was.” In Leezer v. Fluhart, 105 Wash. 618 , 178 Pac. 817 , we said: “The’ meaning of a contract may frequently be determined by a resort to the doctrine of probability, by answering the question, What is the common sense of it?” The judge stated in his oral opinion that it did not make sense for Mr. Hendricks to spend over five hundred dollars renovating his shovel in order to rent it for one month, with only a speculative possibility of a longer rental period.

11958–1958
Agricultural & Livestock Credit Corp. v. McKenzie neutral
wash · 1930
2 sentences

1947Agricultural & Livestock Credit Corp. v. McKenzie, 157 Wash. 597 , 289 Pac. 527 .” There is authority for courts to vacate judgments contained in the following statutes.

1947Agricultural & Livestock Credit Corp. v. McKenzie, 157 Wash. 597 , 289 Pac. 527 .” There is authority for courts to vacate judgments contained in the following statutes.

11947–1947
Graham v. Yakima Stock Brokers, Inc. neutral
wash · 1937
2 sentences

1947The stronger the probability of such a defense, the less will be required on the question of the excusability of his neglect.” And in Graham v. Yakima Stock Brokers, 192 Wash. 121 , 72 P. (2d) 1041 , we said: “It is also a rule that, where default has been denied or vacated by the trial court, a stronger case showing abuse of discretion is required for reversal than where trial on the merits has been denied.

1947The stronger the probability of such a defense, the less will be required on the question of the excusability of his neglect.” And in Graham v. Yakima Stock Brokers, 192 Wash. 121 , 72 P. (2d) 1041 , we said: “It is also a rule that, where default has been denied or vacated by the trial court, a stronger case showing abuse of discretion is required for reversal than where trial on the merits has been denied.

11947–1947

Statutes the citing opinions construe

WA § Wash. Rev. Code § 10.73.090 (5) WA § Wash. Rev. Code § 10.73.100 (5)

Counted by distinct opinions that both name this issue and are annotated to the section; sections every opinion cites regardless of issue are not filtered here, so read the counts against the total above.

Where else courts name it

CA 43 (1917–2026) IL 24 (1880–2026) TX 18 (1932–2025) NY 13 (1875–2025) WA 11 (1947–2025) KY 11 (1941–1992) MA 9 (1888–2015) NM 8 (1937–2017) OR 8 (1994–2024) CT 7 (1987–2001) DC 6 (1970–2025) LA 6 (1935–2016) KS 5 (2013–2022) OH 5 (2018–2024) AZ 5 (1993–2024) RI 4 (1986–2012) MO 4 (1925–2001) PA 4 (1937–2007) FL 4 (1988–2011) MI 3 (1907–2020) DE 3 (1990–2019) UT 3 (1990–2020) MD 3 (1986–2002) VT 2 (1986–1991) CO 2 (1990–1990) NJ 2 (1996–2019) WY 2 (1979–1991) MN 2 (1982–2007) ME 2 (2020–2024)

Opinions by the citing court's state. A doctrine retained in one state and abandoned in another shows up here as a year span that stalls.

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